- GBP/USD climbed sharply by more than 200 pips, gaining 2%.
- UK 30-year bond yields dropped 50 bps to 4.38% as the bond sell-off trims.
- UK’s Finance Minister Hunt calmed the markets, buying some time for UK’s PM Liz Truss, as pressures to oust her increase.
The GBP/USD pierces the 1.1400 mark, as the UK’s new Finance Minister, Jeremy Hunt, said in the House f Commons that the government changed its course while reiterating that Britain is a country that “pays its debts.” So far, UK Government’s U-Turn keeps investors’ mood upbeat, with global equities trading in the green. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.1384, above its opening price but shy of the two-week high.
GBP/USD jumped as UK’s newest Finance Minister scrapped PM Liz Truss’s initial budget proposal
An absent US calendar left investors adrift to UK’s economic turmoil news. The UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, slashed the tax cuts from the newest government budget to calm the markets. So far, the 30-year Gilts has fallen 45 bps, from 4.85% to 4.35%, as tweaks made by the newest Finance Minister bought PM Liz Truss government time.
The British pound rallied sharply against the dollar on Monday, almost 2% up, gaining more than 200-pips, bouncing from daily lows around 1.1208 to its daily high at 1.1439.
Jeremy Hunt’s program increased the corporate tax rate while reversing tax changes on dividend income, alcohol duty, and a VAT-free shopping scheme aimed to raise GBP 5 billion. Additionally, Hunt commented that he would form an “economic advisory council” to provide independent advice to the government.
Aside from this, the US latest inflation figures reported last Thursday’, further cemented the case for another big-size rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Several officials expressed that inflation remains stubbornly high, the market labor is tight and emphasized the need for ratest to be restrictive.
On Saturday, the St Louis Fed President James Bullard said that US higher interest rates bolstered the greenback, which is weighing on other worldwide currencies, an addressed theme by some countries at the G20 meeting. Nevertheless, Bullard added that once the Fed gets rates to a level that could pressure inflation down, the greenback might fall.
What to watch
Tuesday’s light UK economic calendar will leave traders leaning toward UK’s political turbulence and US dynamics. On the US front, Industrial Production m Capacity Utilization, and NAHB Housing Market Index would update the status of the US economy.
GBP/USD Price Forecast
The GBP/USD recovered some ground, distancing from the 20-day EMA, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) broke above the 50-midline, a bullish signal. On its way north, the 50-day EMA lies at 1.1498, which, once cleared, will expose the 1.1500 figure, followed by a test of the 100-day EMA at 1.1832.